Israel has done militar attacks so his enemies have become weak. Enemy forces could surrender.
0.161637
Relative Brier Score
8
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | 48 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 23 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
This forecast expired on May 27, 2024 03:32AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
29%
Yes
Apr 27, 2024 to Oct 27, 2024
71%
No
Apr 27, 2024 to Oct 27, 2024
Why do you think you're right?
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Other countries could support enemy forces.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
59%
(-2%)
Yes
Why do you think you're right?
Wladimir putin has lost people's confidence
Files
Why might you be wrong?
He could make lobby to convince people to support him for next period
Files
New Badge
Top Forecaster - Mar 2024
Earned for being in the Top 10% of the leaderboard in a month.
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
49%
(+19%)
Yes
51%
(-19%)
No
War has decreased in intensity
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
61%
(-19%)
Yes
Why do you think you're right?
We are un Match. Putin is still president.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Certain events can accelerate his exit.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
15%
Yes
85%
No
As Iran is fighting against Israel it is likely it faces cyberattacks. They could not be too dangerous but they could make Iran be more attentive to its technological infrastructure
Files
There will not be an agreement. Maybe countries against Israel will have to stop fights because internal problems like government's changes, financial difficulties, internal riots. Israel will stand firm against opposition.