Wladimir putin has lost people's confidence
0.161637
Relative Brier Score
7
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 47 |
| Comments | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 23 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
59%
(-2%)
Yes
Why do you think you're right?
Files
Why might you be wrong?
He could make lobby to convince people to support him for next period
Files
New Badge
Top Forecaster - Mar 2024
Earned for being in the Top 10% of the leaderboard in a month.
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
49%
(+19%)
Yes
51%
(-19%)
No
War has decreased in intensity
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
61%
(-19%)
Yes
Why do you think you're right?
We are un Match. Putin is still president.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Certain events can accelerate his exit.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
15%
Yes
85%
No
As Iran is fighting against Israel it is likely it faces cyberattacks. They could not be too dangerous but they could make Iran be more attentive to its technological infrastructure
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Mar 28, 2024 02:42AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
35%
(-4%)
Yes
Feb 28, 2024 to Aug 28, 2024
65%
(+4%)
No
Feb 28, 2024 to Aug 28, 2024
Some countries have joined against Israel. So, Israel will have to fight against this coalition. The coalition will have to reach agreements before starting peace conversations.
Files
Why do you think you're right?
Israel has done militar attacks so his enemies have become weak. Enemy forces could surrender.
Why might you be wrong?
Other countries could support enemy forces.