no reason to shuffle at this point
No Scores Yet
Relative Brier Score
0
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
99%
Yes
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
Less than $8.5 billion
17%
More than $8.5 billion but less than or equal to $10 billion
32%
Between $10 billion and $11.5 billion, inclusive
51%
Between $11.5 billion and $13 billion, inclusive
0%
More than $13 billion
confirming previous
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Aug 19, 2022 12:20PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
1%
Yes
Jul 19, 2022 to Jan 19, 2023
there is no reason for military confrontation
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
Less than or equal to 5
57%
Between 6 and 7, inclusive
43%
More than or equal to 8
Renmin is growing
Files
New Badge
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
Yes
there is hope China will be less assertive in the future
Files
he is Xi