Confirmed previous forecast
No Scores Yet
Relative Brier Score
0
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 67 |
Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 |
Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 |
Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Definitions |
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
30%
(0%)
Yes
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
14%
(0%)
United States
61%
(0%)
EU
10%
(0%)
Japan
5%
(0%)
Korea
10%
(0%)
China
0%
(0%)
None of the above
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
15%
(0%)
Less than 10
28%
(0%)
More than or equal to 10 but less than 15
57%
(0%)
More than or equal to 15 but less than 20
0%
(0%)
More than or equal to 20
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
8%
(0%)
China
51%
(0%)
EU
35%
(0%)
United States
6%
(0%)
India
0%
(0%)
Other
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
17%
(0%)
Less than 1,400
35%
(0%)
More than or equal to 1,400 but less than 1,900
36%
(0%)
More than or equal to 1,900 but less than 2,400
12%
(0%)
More than or equal to 2,400
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
3%
(0%)
Yes
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Badge
Active Forecaster
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
3%
(0%)
Yes
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Aug 12, 2022 06:08AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Jul 12, 2022 to Jan 12, 2023
Confirming my forecast
Files
Why do you think you're right?
I changed my mind, I don't think there is any probability of him stepping down.
Why might you be wrong?
Death.
If he dies, there will be a new president and my score will be hurt.
However, he is fit, healthy and well protected, the probability of him dying before March - slim.