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| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
Will the U.S. Senate vote on the American Innovation and Choice Online Act before 30 July 2022?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
0%
Yes, and it will pass
1%
Yes, and it will not pass
99%
No
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Jul 30, 2022 06:08PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
4%
(0%)
Yes
Jun 30, 2022 to Jul 30, 2022
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(-3%)
Yes
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
3%
(-21%)
Yes
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Less than 5
0%
(0%)
Between 5 and 9, inclusive
0%
(-25%)
Between 10 and 14, inclusive
88%
(+25%)
Between 15 and 19, inclusive
12%
(0%)
More than or equal to 20
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Less than or equal to 200 million
0%
(-3%)
More than 200 million but less than 250 million
0%
(-14%)
Between 250 million and 300 million, inclusive
100%
(+17%)
More than 300 million
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Less than 50%
0%
(0%)
More than or equal to 50% but less than 60%
40%
(-5%)
More than or equal to 60% but less than 70%
38%
(-12%)
More than or equal to 70% but less than 80%
22%
(+17%)
More than or equal to 80%
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
Less than 5
0%
Between 5 and 9, inclusive
25%
Between 10 and 14, inclusive
63%
Between 15 and 19, inclusive
12%
More than or equal to 20
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
10%
Yes
Files
