INFER Public

How many total unique AI systems will Baidu and Alibaba submit for the next round of the MLPerf benchmarking suite?

Question Ends:
Nov 16, 2022 05:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 07, 2022 12:53PM UTC
(1 year ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Less than or equal to 4		Answer was correct
Between 5 and 9, inclusive		Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to 10		Answer was incorrect

Will Google score more wins than any other submitter in the next round of the MLPerf training benchmarking suite?

Forecast Count:
5 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Nov 16, 2022 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 14, 2022 09:15AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes		Answer was incorrect

What percentage of ASML's lithography sales will be to the United States in 2022?

Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 06, 2022 10:58AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Less than 5%		Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to 5% but less than 10%		Answer was correct
Between 10% and 15%, inclusive		Answer was incorrect
More than 15%		Answer was incorrect

How much will On Running earn in net sales from shoes in Q4 2022?

Forecast Count:
5 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 06, 2022 10:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Less than 300 million CHF		Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to 300 million CHF but less than 350 million CHF		Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to 350 million CHF		Answer was correct

Will U.S. domestic labor demand for artificial intelligence skills equal or exceed 3.2% for December 2022?

Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 19, 2022 02:28PM UTC
(1 year ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes		Answer was incorrect

What will be the value, in dollars, of U.S. exports of semiconductor manufacturing equipment to China in 2022?

Forecast Count:
8 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 19, 2022 02:48PM UTC
(1 year ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Less than $5 billion		Answer was incorrect
More than $5 billion but less than or equal to $6 billion		Answer was correct
Between $6 billion and $7 billion, inclusive		Answer was incorrect
Between $7 billion and $8 billion, inclusive		Answer was incorrect
More than $8 billion		Answer was incorrect

What will be the value, in dollars, of U.S. exports of semiconductor chips to China in 2022?

Forecast Count:
8 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 22, 2022 09:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Less than $8.5 billion		Answer was incorrect
More than $8.5 billion but less than or equal to $10 billion		Answer was correct
Between $10 billion and $11.5 billion, inclusive		Answer was incorrect
Between $11.5 billion and $13 billion, inclusive		Answer was incorrect
More than $13 billion		Answer was incorrect

What will be the value, in dollars, of all Chinese imports of semiconductor chips in 2022?

Forecast Count:
7 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 27, 2022 01:37PM UTC
(1 year ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Less than $320 billion		Answer was incorrect
More than $320 billion but less than or equal to $350 billion		Answer was incorrect
Between $350 billion and $380 billion, inclusive		Answer was incorrect
Between $380 billion and $410 billion, inclusive		Answer was incorrect
More than $410 billion		Answer was correct

Will Xi Jinping be General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?

Forecast Count:
8 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2023 05:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 27, 2022 04:22PM UTC
(1 year ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes		Answer was correct

By 31 December 2022, will Impossible Foods announce a date for their IPO?

Forecast Count:
5 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 27, 2022 04:23PM UTC
(1 year ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes		Answer was incorrect

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