Forecasted Questions
Will Houthi rebels execute an attack against an Israeli civil or military vessel in the next 6 months?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(1 month from now)
Jul 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(1 month from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 28, 2024 07:54PM UTC
(21 days ago)
Apr 28, 2024 07:54PM UTC
(21 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 39% | Apr 28, 2024 to Oct 28, 2024 | May 28, 2024 | 16% | +23% | +0% |
| No | 61% | Apr 28, 2024 to Oct 28, 2024 | May 28, 2024 | 84% | -23% | +0% |
Before 1 June 2024, will Facebook, WhatsApp, Messenger, or Twitter announce that they are labeling posts as potentially written by AI?
Forecast Count:
5 Forecasts
5 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jun 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(12 days from now)
Jun 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(12 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 28, 2024 07:54PM UTC
(21 days ago)
Apr 28, 2024 07:54PM UTC
(21 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 74% | 11% | +63% | -3% |
| No | 26% | 89% | -63% | +3% |