kwesolek1961

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New Prediction
kwesolek1961
made their 1st forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
94%
Less than 5
5%
Between 5 and 11, inclusive
1%
Between 12 and 17, inclusive
0%
More than or equal to 18

Red wave will make most states back away from such policies.  Only the true hard core liberal states with a history of democratic control of state government will move to adopt such policies

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New Prediction

Growing in popularity and 23 will see more overall patent activity due to post Covid considerations.

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New Prediction

Yes.  He just consolidated Power.  It will take 2-3 years of adverse economic circumstances to put his power and control into question.  Could happen faster if he makes a move on Taiwan.

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New Prediction

Increasingly the conduct of Russian military hardens western resolve against negotiations.  That leaves Putins exit/removal as only viable option.   

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kwesolek1961
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Active Forecaster

New Prediction
kwesolek1961
made their 1st forecast (view all):
This forecast expired on Nov 6, 2022 09:06PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
1%
Yes
Oct 6, 2022 to Nov 6, 2022
Why do you think you're right?

I don’t necessarily think I am right, just think there is a slight chance.  Why, he is losing and his support is getting tenuous.  The longer he waits the less likely it becomes as he will lose the opportunity to control the weapons over time as his support wains.  

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Why might you be wrong?

Again, I think the chance is slight but there definitely is a chance.  

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kwesolek1961
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My First Question

Congratulations on making your first forecast!
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kwesolek1961
earned a new badge:

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New Prediction

The economy and political cohesion of Europe will unravel unless Putin is removed.  It is the only path forward for Russia short of starting a nuclear war.

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