Forecasted Questions
Before 1 June 2024, will Facebook, WhatsApp, Messenger, or Twitter announce that they are labeling posts as potentially written by AI?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jun 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(16 days from now)
Jun 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(16 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 24, 2023 10:39AM UTC
(8 months ago)
Sep 24, 2023 10:39AM UTC
(8 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 11% | 12% | -1% | -42% |
| No | 89% | 88% | +1% | +42% |
Will the New York Times, CBC, or BBC announce that they will only publish photos or videos containing digital provenance (e.g., C2PA) by 31 May 2024?
Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jun 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(16 days from now)
Jun 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(16 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 24, 2023 11:18AM UTC
(8 months ago)
Sep 24, 2023 11:18AM UTC
(8 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 3% | 4% | -1% | -7% |
| No | 97% | 96% | +1% | +7% |