Confirmed previous forecast
-0.000013
Relative Brier Score
10
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 2 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 27 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Questions Forecasted | 2 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
Will the price of the rare earth compound dysprosium oxide equal or exceed $1000 per kg before 1 July 2024?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Yes
99%
(0%)
No
Show more
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
100%
(0%)
Yes
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
100%
(0%)
Yes
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Only one month left, and you´re 100% sure, that he will no longer be president?
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Yes
99%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Yes
Time
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
Yes
99%
No
First batch of quotas has already been released and they weren't cut. Even in case that the price will grow like in 2011 it will take at least half a year to reach 1000$.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
Yes
Time
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
100%
(0%)
Yes
Confirmed previous forecast
Files