1.688338
Relative Brier Score
13
Forecasts
2
Upvotes
Forecasting Calendar
Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
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Forecasts | 0 | 4 | 38 | 13 | 53 |
Comments | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
Questions Forecasted | 0 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 17 |
Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
Definitions |
Active Forecaster
Microsoft's Denial: In June 2023, Microsoft refuted rumors about relocating the lab out of China [Microsoft responds to rumors of closing its Research Asia Institute]. They specifically stated their commitment to Microsoft Research Asia (MSRA)
Continued Operations: There haven't been any official announcements regarding closure. News sources in January 2024 reported Microsoft reaffirming their commitment [Microsoft responds to rumors of closing its Research Asia Institute].
However, there are some nuances:
Shifting Talent: There have been reports of Microsoft moving some researchers to their new AI lab in Canada [Microsoft to move top AI experts from China to lab in Canada]. This might indicate a strategic shift in focus.
Huawei's Skepticism: Huawei has historically been critical of Open RAN initiatives, favoring their own proprietary solutions.
No Recent Signs of Engagement: In February 2024, Huawei dismissed rumors of supporting Open RAN.
Geopolitical Tensions: Some view O-RAN as a US-led effort against Huawei, creating a complex dynamic for collaboration.
However, there are some possibilities:
Change in Strategy: Huawei's stance could evolve, especially if Open RAN gains wider adoption.
Pressure from Market Forces: Operators seeking flexibility might nudge Huawei towards Open RAN compliance.
Overall, it's difficult to predict. Keep an eye on future announcements from Huawei or the O-RAN Alliance regarding:
Huawei joining the O-RAN Alliance
Development or testing of equipment based on O-RAN standards
Financial or resource commitments towards O-RAN initiatives
If any of these occur by October 1, 2025, the answer would be yes.