Forecasted Questions
[Experimental] Did COVID-19 originate in a lab in Wuhan, China?
Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Oct 01, 2021 05:59PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Oct 01, 2021 05:59PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 30, 2021 06:26PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Sep 30, 2021 06:26PM UTC
(2 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 60% | 35% | +25% | +1% |
Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months?
As of Sep 21, 2023 03:27PM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(1 month ago)
Apr 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(1 month ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 21, 2023 03:27PM UTC
(9 months ago)
Aug 21, 2023 03:27PM UTC
(9 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 2% | Aug 21, 2023 to Feb 21, 2024 | Sep 21, 2023 | 1% | +2% | +0% |