palexd

About:

Epidemiologist & data scientist, lead an OSINT team focused on health security.

LinkedIn
Show more
View All Badges ยป
Forecasted Questions
Open Closed Resolved

How much new funding will facial recognition companies raise between July 1 and December 31, 2020, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Dec 07, 2020 09:59PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 17, 2020 02:49PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than $200 million Answer was correct
More than $200 million but less than or equal to $500 million Answer was incorrect
Between $500 million and $800 million, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than $800 million but less than or equal to $1.1 billion Answer was incorrect
More than $1.1 billion Answer was incorrect

What will total U.S. trade volume with China (imports and exports of goods) be in 2021?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Mar 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Oct 05, 2020 09:03PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than $400 billion Answer was incorrect
Between $400 billion and $480 billion, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than $480 billion but less than or equal to $560 billion Answer was incorrect
More than $560 billion but less than or equal to $640 billion Answer was incorrect
More than $640 billion Answer was correct

Will the Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) seize control of any Taiwanese-occupied features in the South China Sea before July 1, 2021?

Forecast Count:
 4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jun 19, 2021 03:59PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Jun 15, 2021 07:27PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Will a G7 country boycott the Beijing 2022 Winter Olympics before January 1, 2022?

Forecast Count:
 6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Aug 27, 2021 05:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Aug 12, 2021 06:07PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

[Experimental] What will be the consensus crowd forecast on October 1, 2021, on whether COVID-19 originated in a lab in Wuhan, China?

Forecast Count:
 5 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Oct 01, 2021 05:59PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 30, 2021 06:29PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
0-10% Answer was incorrect
10-20% Answer was incorrect
20-30% Answer was incorrect
30-40% Answer was correct
40-50% Answer was incorrect
50-60% Answer was incorrect
60-70% Answer was incorrect
70-80% Answer was incorrect
80-90% Answer was incorrect
90-100% Answer was incorrect

Will Russia invade Ukraine by December 31, 2022?

Forecast Count:
 7 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Dec 31, 2022 11:59PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Feb 24, 2022 06:33PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was correct

Will the World Health Organization declare a new Public Health Emergency of International Concern in the next four quarters?

As of Jul 21, 2022 07:21PM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
 6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jun 01, 2022 02:33PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Apr 21, 2022 07:21PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes Answer was correct

When will 1 billion people in India receive at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine?

Forecast Count:
 10 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Oct 01, 2022 12:00PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Apr 21, 2022 07:22PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Before January 1, 2022 Answer was incorrect
Between January 1, 2022, and March 31, 2022 Answer was incorrect
Between April 1, 2022 and June 30, 2022 Answer was correct
Between July 1, 2022 and September 30, 2022 Answer was incorrect
Not before October 1, 2022 Answer was incorrect

Will the World Health Organization declare a new Public Health Emergency of International Concern between August 1, 2021 and July 31, 2022?

Forecast Count:
 13 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Aug 01, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Jul 23, 2022 03:25PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was correct

Will Li Keqiang be a member of the Standing Committee of the Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?

Forecast Count:
 19 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Nov 28, 2022 06:22PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect
Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username
Cancel