Forecasted Questions
Before 1 June 2024, will Facebook, WhatsApp, Messenger, or Twitter announce that they are labeling posts as potentially written by AI?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jun 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(11 days from now)
Jun 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(11 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 14, 2023 07:09PM UTC
(11 months ago)
Jun 14, 2023 07:09PM UTC
(11 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 33% | 11% | +22% | -34% |
| No | 67% | 89% | -22% | +34% |
Will the New York Times, CBC, or BBC announce that they will only publish photos or videos containing digital provenance (e.g., C2PA) by 31 May 2024?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jun 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(11 days from now)
Jun 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(11 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 14, 2023 08:07PM UTC
(11 months ago)
Jun 14, 2023 08:07PM UTC
(11 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 35% | 4% | +31% | -19% |
| No | 65% | 96% | -31% | +19% |