Forecasted Questions
How will the number of Defense Innovation Unit transitions change over the next three years?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 02, 2022 11:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Apr 02, 2022 11:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 08, 2021 10:30PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Nov 08, 2021 10:30PM UTC
(2 years ago)
What will the Senate's average Bipartisan Index score be from 2021-2022?
Forecast Count:
10 Forecasts
10 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Jan 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 10, 2021 03:15PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Nov 10, 2021 03:15PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Less than -0.25 | 15% | 14% | +1% | -1% |
Between -0.25 and 0, inclusive | 30% | 31% | -1% | -1% |
More than 0 but less than or equal to 0.25 | 35% | 33% | +2% | +2% |
More than 0.25 but less than or equal to 0.5 | 15% | 17% | -2% | +0% |
More than 0.5 | 5% | 4% | +1% | +0% |
How politically polarized will U.S. citizens be in 2024?
Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Jan 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 03, 2021 10:18PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Dec 03, 2021 10:18PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Which tech company will be the first to reach a market cap of $5 trillion?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Feb 28, 2022 01:34PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Feb 28, 2022 01:34PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 19, 2022 09:55PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Jan 19, 2022 09:55PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Apple | 45% | 48% | -3% | +20% |
Microsoft | 25% | 22% | +3% | +6% |
Alphabet (Google) | 10% | 13% | -3% | -6% |
Amazon | 10% | 10% | +0% | -11% |
Tesla | 7% | 3% | +4% | -4% |
Meta (Facebook) | 3% | 1% | +2% | -5% |
Other | 0% | 2% | -2% | +0% |