79th
Accuracy Rank

YJAung

Brigitte de Graaf
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    Date Ended Question Relative Brier Score
    Aug 1, 2025 09:00PM Will U.S. President Donald Trump’s approval rating be greater than 45% on 1 August 2025? -0.012768
    Aug 1, 2025 04:01AM Will all NATO members agree to a defense spending target of 5% of GDP by 31 July 2025? 0.269573
    Aug 1, 2025 04:01AM Will the U.S. national average gas price be equal to or above $3.600 for July 2025? 0.040266
    Aug 1, 2025 04:01AM Which of the following territorial developments between Venezuela and Guyana will occur before 1 August 2025? 0.000054
    Aug 1, 2025 04:01AM Will the United States and Iran announce a new nuclear deal before 1 August 2025? -0.001416
    Aug 1, 2025 04:00AM Will Iran agree to limit uranium enrichment to 5% or less in the next 6 months? (Scores for forecasts between Dec 22, 2024 and Jan 1, 2025) 0.0002
    Aug 1, 2025 04:00AM In the next six months, will the Global Protest Tracker record an anti-government protest in Iran with 10,000 or more participants lasting at least a week? (Scores for forecasts between Dec 15, 2024 and Jan 1, 2025) -0.037441
    Jul 24, 2025 04:00PM Will the share of battery-electric vehicles among new registered cars in the EU exceed 20% by the second quarter of 2025? -0.001272
    Jul 1, 2025 05:01AM Will Israel and Saudi Arabia publicly acknowledge that they are resuming the normalization process in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Dec 6, 2024 and Jan 1, 2025) 0.0198
    Jul 1, 2025 05:01AM Will Iran launch missiles or conduct an airstrike against U.S. forces in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Dec 6, 2024 and Jan 1, 2025) -0.108923
    Jul 1, 2025 04:01AM Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 July 2025? 0.001132
    Jul 1, 2025 04:01AM Will Myanmar hold national elections before 1 July 2025? -0.005414
    Jul 1, 2025 04:01AM Will the U.S. Congress pass a budget reconciliation bill before 1 July 2025? 0.010969
    Jun 25, 2025 02:00AM Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic mayoral primary for New York City on 24 June 2025 in five rounds or fewer? -0.074573
    Jun 13, 2025 06:32PM Will Iran be at war with another country in the next year? (Scores for forecasts between Apr 26, 2024 and Jun 13, 2025) -0.120395
    May 31, 2025 05:00PM On 31 May 2025, will Nvidia be the world’s most valuable company by market cap? 0.167038
    Apr 28, 2025 01:00PM Will a North American testing center (OTIC) issue an O-RAN Certificate between 1 April 2024 and 31 March 2025? -0.011789
    Feb 14, 2025 06:00PM What percentage of global semiconductor revenue will come from the Americas region in 2024? -0.049901
    Feb 4, 2025 05:00PM Will North Korea conduct a nuclear test within the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Jan 4, 2025 and Feb 4, 2025) 0.000435
    Feb 4, 2025 05:00PM Will North Korea engage in kinetic military action against a South Korean vessel, island, or other asset south of the Northern Limit Line in the Yellow Sea in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Jan 4, 2025 and Feb 4, 2025) -0.000813
     
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