How will the U.S. rank in AI skills penetration in 2022?

Started May 26, 2022 04:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC

Question will be resolved using LinkedIn Economic Graph data from the OECD AI Policy Observatory’s data on AI jobs and skills. The link will take you to the “AI Skills Penetration: Country Rankings By Year” page.  

AI skills penetration refers to the prevalence of LinkedIn members with AI skills for each year. See here for more information about the OECD’s methodology and the LinkedIn data. Question will be suspended on 31 December 2022 and resolved when the OECD database is updated.   

New to AI? Check out our blog post on AI competitiveness for a list of resources to jumpstart your research. To learn more about the OECD data and how it's used by policy makers, check out this video
Resolution Notes

The U.S. ranked 4th in AI skills penetration in 2022

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
1 2%
2 20%
3 57%
4 or lower 21%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 55
Average for questions older than 6 months: 58
Number of Forecasts 238
Average for questions older than 6 months: 204
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.295
2.
-0.19
4.
-0.135
5.
-0.131

Consensus Trend

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