On 31 May 2023, how many total tax incentives will be listed in the Alternative Fuels Data Center?

Started Sep 15, 2022 07:00PM UTC
Closed May 31, 2023 09:00PM UTC

As both the need and demand for alternative fuels continue to increase, state and federal governments continue to provide tax incentives to encourage alternative fuel use. The Alternative Fuels Data Center (AFDC) tracks these individual incentives through a database that is updated regularly. 
 
This question will be resolved using the publicly available data from the Alternative Fuels Data Center, Laws and Incentives section. To view the total number of tax incentives, click on the “Incentives” tab, then locate the number in the “Totals” row of the “Tax Incentives” column.  

To see a list of the laws included in that count, click the number listed there (105 as of the launch date of this question, 15 September 2022), which will take you to a search page. Click “All” in the “Jurisdiction,” “Technology/Fuel,” and “User” Categories, and “tax incentives” in the “Incentive/Regulation” category. Then press search to download a csv of the list. 

Additional information on the Incentives data used can be found here. To access historical data of past incentives, click here and then select “Laws and Incentives” as the data set, “All” as the jurisdiction and click “Yes” next to Expired.  
Resolution Notes

There were 111 tax incentives listed on the Alternative Fuels Data Center on 31 May 2023.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than or equal to 106 0%
Between 107 and 111, inclusive 73%
Between 112 and 116, inclusive 26%
More than or equal to 117 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 41
Average for questions older than 6 months: 59
Number of Forecasts 306
Average for questions older than 6 months: 212
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.21926
2.
-0.206288
3.
-0.144469
4.
-0.107625
5.
-0.077267

Consensus Trend

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