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77th
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daddyxi
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2024 Season
2020 Season
2021 Season
2022 Season
2023 Season
Artificial Intelligence
China Politics, Relations, and Technology
Formerly on Foretell
Global AI Race: Talent, Research, and Tech
How Will the U.S. Technology Sector Develop in the Coming Years?
Immigration
Industry
INFER x Cosmic Bazaar Collaboration
International Diplomacy & Conflict
Iran: Threats & Influence
Issue Campaign: U.S. Department of Defense - Silicon Valley Relationship
Microelectronic Technologies
Public Attitudes
Research
Russia-Ukraine War
Science & Technology
Synthetic Biology in the Energy Sector
The Water Cooler
U.S.-China
Decoding Disinformation
EA College Tournament
Future Bowl
Government Investment
Iran Nuclear Program
Iran-VNSAs
Manufacturing
metric-question
Microelectronics
Mission: AI Advancement
Mission: Diplomacy
Open RAN
Quantum Computing
semiconductors
Semiconductor Supply Chain
U.S. tech sector
Date Ended
Question
Relative Brier Score
Apr 27, 2022 09:00PM UTC
When will the end of day closing value for the Russian Ruble against the US Dollar drop below 75 Rubles to 1 USD?
0.005694
Mar 16, 2022 04:00PM UTC
In Stanford University's 2022 AI Report, what percentage of new US resident PhD's in AI will be Asian, Black or African American, Hispanic, or multiracial?
-0.329207
Mar 01, 2022 05:00AM UTC
Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea between September 1, 2021 and February 28, 2022, inclusive?
0.481611
Feb 28, 2022 03:38PM UTC
Will Russia invade Ukraine by December 31, 2022?
-0.018048
Feb 17, 2022 11:00AM UTC
Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Jan 17, 2022 and Feb 17, 2022)
0.015484
Feb 11, 2022 10:00PM UTC
How will the percentage of SMIC revenue from 28 nm chips or smaller change over the next three years? - 2021 H2
-0.040068
Jan 31, 2022 03:05PM UTC
How will the ratio of China-authored to U.S.-authored highly cited (top 1%) AI papers change over the next three years? - 2021
0.000637
Jan 01, 2022 01:52PM UTC
Will a G7 country boycott the Beijing 2022 Winter Olympics before January 1, 2022?
-0.022944
Jan 01, 2022 01:40PM UTC
Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea between July 1 and December 31, 2021, inclusive?
0.211654
Nov 17, 2021 11:00AM UTC
Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Oct 17, 2021 and Nov 17, 2021)
0.433548
Oct 17, 2021 11:00AM UTC
Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Sep 17, 2021 and Oct 17, 2021)
0.448
Oct 17, 2021 11:00AM UTC
Will China execute an acknowledged national military attack against Vietnam, India, or Taiwan in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Sep 17, 2021 and Oct 17, 2021)
0.31363
Oct 01, 2021 06:31PM UTC
[Experimental] What will be the consensus crowd forecast on October 1, 2021, on whether COVID-19 originated in a lab in Wuhan, China?
0.084599
Sep 17, 2021 11:00AM UTC
Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Aug 17, 2021 and Sep 17, 2021)
0.224
Sep 17, 2021 11:00AM UTC
Will China execute an acknowledged national military attack against Vietnam, India, or Taiwan in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Aug 17, 2021 and Sep 17, 2021)
0.486952
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