In Stanford University's 2022 AI Report, what percentage of new US resident PhD's in AI will be Asian, Black or African American, Hispanic, or multiracial?
Started
Jan 31, 2022 01:00PM UTC
Closed Mar 16, 2022 04:00PM UTC
Closed Mar 16, 2022 04:00PM UTC
Topics
Seasons
The US competitive advantage will grow the more diverse the artificial intelligence field becomes (NSCAI Chapter 11). Question will be resolved based on data in Stanford University's Artificial Intelligence Index 2022 Report. The 2021 Report was released in March of 2021 and the relevant data was provided in Chapter 6.
Resolution Notes
The correct answer was 39.65% (30.17% Asian, 6.9% Hispanic, 1.72% Black, 0.86% Multiracial), as stated in Chapter 4 of the March 2022 report: https://aiindex.stanford.edu/report/
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than 28 | 12% | |
| Between 28 and 30, inclusive | 25% | |
| More than 30 but less than 32 | 32% | |
| Between 32 and 35, inclusive | 22% | |
| More than 35 | 9% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 45 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 59 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 85 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 211 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
