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Eli Lifland
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Forecasted Questions
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Will Xi Jinping be General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?

Forecast Count:
 6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2023 05:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Dec 24, 2021 08:51PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was correct

Will Russia invade Ukraine by December 31, 2022?

Forecast Count:
 7 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Dec 31, 2022 11:59PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Jan 29, 2022 04:27PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was correct

When will 1 billion people in India receive at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine?

Forecast Count:
 23 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Oct 01, 2022 12:00PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Apr 15, 2022 11:02PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Before January 1, 2022 Answer was incorrect
Between January 1, 2022, and March 31, 2022 Answer was incorrect
Between April 1, 2022 and June 30, 2022 Answer was correct
Between July 1, 2022 and September 30, 2022 Answer was incorrect
Not before October 1, 2022 Answer was incorrect

Will the United States have the world's fastest supercomputer in June 2022?

Forecast Count:
 7 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jul 15, 2022 03:47PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 May 20, 2022 01:20AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was correct

Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea in the next six months?

As of Jul 10, 2022 12:48AM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
 4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Sep 01, 2022 11:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Jun 10, 2022 12:48AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Will the World Health Organization declare a new Public Health Emergency of International Concern between August 1, 2021 and July 31, 2022?

Forecast Count:
 5 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Aug 01, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Jul 08, 2022 01:31AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was correct

Will Hu Chunhua be a member of the Standing Committee of the Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?

Forecast Count:
 5 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Dec 26, 2022 10:02AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Will Chen Min'er be a member of the Standing Committee of the Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?

Forecast Count:
 4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Dec 26, 2022 10:02AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Will Li Keqiang be a member of the Standing Committee of the Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?

Forecast Count:
 3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Dec 26, 2022 10:02AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect
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