Forecasted Questions
What percentage of O visas will go to Chinese nationals in FY 2022 (October 2021 through September 2022)?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Oct 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Oct 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 25, 2021 12:14AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Jul 25, 2021 12:14AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Less than 3% | Answer was correct | |||
Between 3% and 4.5%, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than 4.5% but less than or equal to 6% | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than 6% but less than or equal to 7.5% | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than 7.5% | Answer was incorrect |
What percentage of U.S. residents will have an unfavorable view of China, as reflected in the 2022 Pew Global Attitudes Survey?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Aug 27, 2021 05:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Aug 27, 2021 05:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 25, 2021 12:14AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Jul 25, 2021 12:14AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Less than 59% | Answer was incorrect | |||
Between 59% and 66%, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than 66% but less than or equal to 73% | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than 73% but less than or equal to 80% | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than 80% | Answer was correct |
Following El Salvador, will another country classify Bitcoin as legal tender by December 31, 2021?
Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Aug 17, 2021 01:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Aug 17, 2021 01:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 25, 2021 12:15AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Jul 25, 2021 12:15AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | Answer was incorrect |
Will the Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) seize control of any Taiwanese-occupied features in the South China Sea between August 1, 2021 and March 31, 2022?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Aug 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Aug 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 27, 2021 05:24PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Jul 27, 2021 05:24PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | Answer was incorrect |