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Forecasted Questions

How much funding will U.S. tech startups raise between July 1 and December 31, 2020, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Dec 07, 2020 09:59PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 30, 2020 08:44AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than $12 billion Answer was incorrect
Between $12 billion and $16 billion, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than $16 billion but less than or equal to $20 billion Answer was correct
More than $20 billion but less than or equal to $24 billion Answer was incorrect
More than $24 billion Answer was incorrect

What will be the value, in dollars, of all Chinese imports of semiconductor manufacturing equipment in 2021?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Mar 01, 2021 05:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 18, 2020 04:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than $20 billion Answer was incorrect
More than $20 billion but less than or equal to $30 billion Answer was incorrect
Between $30 billion and $40 billion, inclusive Answer was incorrect
Between $40 billion and $50 billion, inclusive Answer was correct
More than $50 billion Answer was incorrect

Will the United States return to compliance with the 2015 Iran nuclear deal by December 31, 2021?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jun 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 23, 2021 01:15PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

What percentage of software engineer job postings between July 1 and September 30, 2021, inclusive, will allow for remote work?

Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 21, 2021 01:36PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 5.5% Answer was incorrect
More than 5.5% but less than or equal to 7% Answer was incorrect
Between 7% and 9.5%, inclusive Answer was incorrect
Between 9.5% and 12%, inclusive Answer was correct
More than 12% Answer was incorrect

Will NVIDIA acquire Arm by March 31, 2022?

Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Aug 17, 2021 01:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 13, 2021 11:34AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Will the Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) seize control of any Taiwanese-occupied features in the South China Sea between August 1, 2021 and March 31, 2022?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Aug 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 13, 2021 11:36AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Will China seize control of any Taiwanese-occupied feature in the South China Sea in the next six months?

As of Jan 25, 2022 01:06PM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Aug 17, 2022 11:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 25, 2021 01:06PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect
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