Forecasted Questions
What will the Senate's average Bipartisan Index score be from 2021-2022?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Jan 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 09, 2021 02:12PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Apr 09, 2021 02:12PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Less than -0.25 | 15% | 14% | +1% | -6% |
Between -0.25 and 0, inclusive | 15% | 31% | -16% | -1% |
More than 0 but less than or equal to 0.25 | 15% | 33% | -18% | +3% |
More than 0.25 but less than or equal to 0.5 | 20% | 17% | +3% | +3% |
More than 0.5 | 35% | 4% | +31% | +0% |
Which company will be the largest semiconductor company by sales revenue in 2022?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Nov 01, 2022 04:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Nov 01, 2022 04:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
May 09, 2022 02:16PM UTC
(2 years ago)
May 09, 2022 02:16PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Intel | 35% | 16% | +19% | -18% |
Samsung | 60% | 53% | +7% | -6% |
TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company) | 0% | 30% | -30% | +23% |
Other | 5% | 0% | +5% | +0% |
Will Imran Khan be re-elected as prime minister following Pakistan’s upcoming general election?
Forecast Count:
5 Forecasts
5 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Feb 09, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(3 months ago)
Feb 09, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(3 months ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Feb 02, 2024 02:11PM UTC
(3 months ago)
Feb 02, 2024 02:11PM UTC
(3 months ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | 0% | 0% | +0% | +0% |
In the next six months, will the Global Protest Tracker record an anti-government protest in Iran with 10,000 or more participants lasting at least a week?
As of Apr 14, 2024 02:58PM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(8 months from now)
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(8 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 14, 2024 02:58PM UTC
(2 months ago)
Mar 14, 2024 02:58PM UTC
(2 months ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | 4% | Mar 14, 2024 to Sep 14, 2024 | Apr 14, 2024 | 10% | -6% | +1% |
No | 96% | Mar 14, 2024 to Sep 14, 2024 | Apr 14, 2024 | 90% | +6% | -1% |