Confirmed previous forecast
-0.000022
Relative Brier Score
4
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 1 | 16 | 4 | 50 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 16 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
For each of the 5 quarters listed, what is the probability that North America’s share of TSMC’s net revenue will be less than 40%?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
2023 Q2
0%
(0%)
2023 Q3
0%
(0%)
2023 Q4
1%
(0%)
2024 Q1
1%
(0%)
2024 Q2
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
Yes
99%
No
The regional conflict does not appear to alleviate in the near term.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
2023 Q2
0%
(0%)
2023 Q3
0%
(0%)
2023 Q4
1%
(0%)
2024 Q1
1%
(0%)
2024 Q2
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
2023 Q2
0%
(0%)
2023 Q3
0%
(0%)
2023 Q4
1%
(0%)
2024 Q1
1%
(0%)
2024 Q2
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
Yes
2023 is about to end, while the product roadmap is still unknown after the recent OpenAI leadership change.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
2023 Q2
0%
(0%)
2023 Q3
0%
(0%)
2023 Q4
1%
(0%)
2024 Q1
1%
(0%)
2024 Q2
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
2%
(0%)
Yes
Confirmed previous forecast
Files