Forecasted Questions
Will clashes between Chinese and Indian security forces result in 25 or more fatalities between 28 April 2022 and 1 April 2023?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2023 03:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Apr 01, 2023 03:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 19, 2022 12:18PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Jul 19, 2022 12:18PM UTC
(2 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||
How many Chinese Universities will be listed in QS World University Rankings’ top 100 universities for computer science in 2023?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2023 03:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Apr 01, 2023 03:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 19, 2022 12:19PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Jul 19, 2022 12:19PM UTC
(2 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than or equal to 5 | Answer was incorrect | |||
| Between 6 and 7, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than or equal to 8 | Answer was correct | |||
Will China execute an acknowledged national military attack against Vietnam, India, or Taiwan in the next six months?
As of Aug 19, 2022 12:20PM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Aug 17, 2022 11:00AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Aug 17, 2022 11:00AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 19, 2022 12:20PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Jul 19, 2022 12:20PM UTC
(2 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||||
What will be the value, in dollars, of U.S. exports of semiconductor chips to China in 2022?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 19, 2022 12:21PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Jul 19, 2022 12:21PM UTC
(2 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than $8.5 billion | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than $8.5 billion but less than or equal to $10 billion | Answer was correct | |||
| Between $10 billion and $11.5 billion, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
| Between $11.5 billion and $13 billion, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than $13 billion | Answer was incorrect | |||
Will Li Keqiang be a member of the Standing Committee of the Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 19, 2022 12:24PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Jul 19, 2022 12:24PM UTC
(2 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||
Will Xi Jinping be General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2023 05:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Jan 01, 2023 05:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 19, 2022 12:25PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Jul 19, 2022 12:25PM UTC
(2 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was correct | |||