Forecasted Questions
Will the Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) seize control of any Taiwanese-occupied features in the South China Sea between August 1, 2021 and March 31, 2022?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Aug 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Aug 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 27, 2021 11:59PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Jun 27, 2021 11:59PM UTC
(3 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||
Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea in the next six months?
As of Nov 14, 2021 12:08AM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Sep 01, 2022 11:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Sep 01, 2022 11:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 14, 2021 12:08AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Oct 14, 2021 12:08AM UTC
(2 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||||
Will China execute an acknowledged national military attack against Vietnam, India, or Taiwan in the next six months?
As of Dec 29, 2021 09:17PM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Aug 17, 2022 11:00AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Aug 17, 2022 11:00AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 29, 2021 09:17PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Nov 29, 2021 09:17PM UTC
(2 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||||
In 2022, will a Chinese institution have the most "high impact" AI research publications?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 20, 2022 08:38PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Sep 20, 2022 08:38PM UTC
(1 year ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was correct | |||
Will Myanmar hold national elections on or before 31 December 2023?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(5 months ago)
Jan 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(5 months ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Feb 01, 2023 04:34AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Feb 01, 2023 04:34AM UTC
(1 year ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||