Forecasted Questions
[Experimental] Did COVID-19 originate in a lab in Wuhan, China?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Oct 01, 2021 05:59PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Oct 01, 2021 05:59PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 25, 2021 02:10AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Aug 25, 2021 02:10AM UTC
(2 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 10% | 35% | -25% | -6% |
How politically polarized will U.S. citizens be in 2024?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Jan 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 13, 2021 05:22PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Oct 13, 2021 05:22PM UTC
(2 years ago)
How will annual money raised by private U.S. tech companies change over the next three years?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 13, 2022 12:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Jan 13, 2022 12:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 30, 2021 10:33PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Nov 30, 2021 10:33PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Which tech company will be the first to reach a market cap of $5 trillion?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Feb 28, 2022 01:34PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Feb 28, 2022 01:34PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 25, 2022 06:47PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Jan 25, 2022 06:47PM UTC
(2 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apple | 10% | 48% | -38% | +19% |
| Microsoft | 10% | 22% | -12% | +6% |
| Alphabet (Google) | 30% | 13% | +17% | -2% |
| Amazon | 20% | 10% | +10% | -9% |
| Tesla | 10% | 3% | +7% | -5% |
| Meta (Facebook) | 20% | 1% | +19% | -7% |
| Other | 0% | 2% | -2% | -2% |