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[Experimental] What will be the consensus crowd forecast on October 1, 2021, on whether COVID-19 originated in a lab in Wuhan, China?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Oct 01, 2021 05:59PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Aug 25, 2021 02:09AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
0-10% Answer was incorrect
10-20% Answer was incorrect
20-30% Answer was incorrect
30-40% Answer was correct
40-50% Answer was incorrect
50-60% Answer was incorrect
60-70% Answer was incorrect
70-80% Answer was incorrect
80-90% Answer was incorrect
90-100% Answer was incorrect

In Stanford University's 2022 AI Report, what percentage of new US resident PhD's in AI will be Asian, Black or African American, Hispanic, or multiracial?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Apr 01, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Feb 28, 2022 08:59PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 28 Answer was incorrect
Between 28 and 30, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than 30 but less than 32 Answer was incorrect
Between 32 and 35, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than 35 Answer was correct

When will 1 billion people in India receive at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine?

Forecast Count:
 4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Oct 01, 2022 12:00PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Apr 26, 2022 03:53PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Before January 1, 2022 Answer was incorrect
Between January 1, 2022, and March 31, 2022 Answer was incorrect
Between April 1, 2022 and June 30, 2022 Answer was correct
Between July 1, 2022 and September 30, 2022 Answer was incorrect
Not before October 1, 2022 Answer was incorrect

Will the World Health Organization declare a new Public Health Emergency of International Concern in the next four quarters?

As of Aug 27, 2022 02:43PM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
 3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jun 01, 2022 02:33PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 May 27, 2022 02:43PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes Answer was correct

What percentage of Arizona will be facing severe drought or worse on 5 July 2022?

Forecast Count:
 2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jul 05, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Jul 01, 2022 02:51AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 50% Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to 50% but less than 60% Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to 60% but less than 70% Answer was correct
More than or equal to 70% but less than 80% Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to 80% Answer was incorrect

Will Tether (USDT) trade below $0.95 at any time before 1 July 2022?

Forecast Count:
 2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jul 01, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Jul 01, 2022 02:51AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

How many tech startup layoff events will be recorded in July 2022?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Aug 01, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Jul 01, 2022 02:54AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than or equal to 74 Answer was incorrect
Between 75 and 99, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to 100 Answer was correct

Will China announce an end to its zero Covid policy by 31 December 2022?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Nov 30, 2022 11:03PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

What percentage of contributions to Github's “very high impact” AI projects will be from the EU in 2022?

Forecast Count:
 5 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Dec 30, 2022 10:57PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 10 Answer was correct
More than or equal to 10 but less than 15 Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to 15 but less than 20 Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to 20 Answer was incorrect

How will the U.S. rank in AI skills penetration in 2022?

Forecast Count:
 5 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Dec 30, 2022 10:57PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
1 Answer was incorrect
2 Answer was incorrect
3 Answer was incorrect
4 or lower Answer was correct
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