JackRyan

Jack Ryan
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Forecasted Questions

Will the Chinese government add Apple, Qualcomm, Cisco, or Boeing to its 'unreliable entities list' by August 10, 2020?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Aug 11, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 25, 2020 01:56AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Will either China or the United States withdraw from their January 2020 trade truce by August 31, 2020?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Sep 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 01, 2020 01:03AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

How many AI papers will be posted on arXiv between July 1 and September 30, 2020, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Oct 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 01, 2020 01:07AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 6,000 Answer was incorrect
Between 6,000 and 8,000, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than 8,000 but less than or equal to 10,000 Answer was incorrect
More than 10,000 but less than or equal to 12,000 Answer was correct
More than 12,000 Answer was incorrect

Will any private messages obtained in the July 15, 2020 Twitter hack be leaked to the public by November 2, 2020?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Oct 30, 2020 12:00PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 01, 2020 01:14AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Will the U.S. Justice Department file an antitrust lawsuit against Google by September 14, 2020?

Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Sep 15, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 03, 2020 09:16PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Will Microsoft announce an agreement to purchase TikTok service in the United States by September 15, 2020?

Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Sep 16, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 14, 2020 03:52AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

What percentage of U.S. residents will have an unfavorable view of China, as reflected in the 2021 Pew Global Attitudes Survey?

Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
May 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Feb 19, 2021 09:11PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 59% Answer was incorrect
Between 59% and 66%, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than 66% but less than or equal to 73% Answer was incorrect
More than 73% but less than or equal to 80% Answer was correct
More than 80% Answer was incorrect
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