INFER Public

In the next six months, will U.S. and China announce the establishment of an ongoing bilateral dialog mechanism that includes discussions of emerging technologies?

As of Jul 6, 2022 01:57PM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.

Question Ends:
Jun 29, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 06, 2022 01:57PM UTC
(2 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Forecast Window	Forecast Expiration	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes		Answer was incorrect

On 30 June 2022, how much funding will Crunchbase’s “Hub for Artificial Intelligence Companies Founded in the Last Year” report that those companies have raised?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast

Question Ends:
Jun 30, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 06, 2022 01:58PM UTC
(2 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Less than or equal to 200 million		Answer was incorrect
More than 200 million but less than 250 million		Answer was incorrect
Between 250 million and 300 million, inclusive		Answer was incorrect
More than 300 million		Answer was correct

By 30 June 2022, will a date be announced for a Mobileye IPO?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast

Question Ends:
Jun 30, 2022 03:59PM UTC
(2 years ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 06, 2022 06:28PM UTC
(2 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes		Answer was incorrect

How many autonomous vehicle collisions will the California DMV record for June 2022?

Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 24, 2022 06:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Less than 5		Answer was incorrect
Between 5 and 9, inclusive		Answer was incorrect
Between 10 and 14, inclusive		Answer was correct
Between 15 and 19, inclusive		Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to 20		Answer was incorrect

How many tech startup layoff events will be recorded in July 2022?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast

Question Ends:
Aug 01, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 27, 2022 05:26PM UTC
(2 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Less than or equal to 74		Answer was incorrect
Between 75 and 99, inclusive		Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to 100		Answer was correct

How much revenue will Intel report for the second quarter of 2022?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast

Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 28, 2022 05:25PM UTC
(2 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Less than $17 billion		Answer was correct
More than or equal to $17 billion but less than $18 billion		Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to $18 billion but less than $19 billion		Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to $19 billion		Answer was incorrect

Will Tether (USDT) trade below $0.95 at any time before 1 July 2022?

Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 28, 2022 05:27PM UTC
(2 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes		Answer was incorrect

What percentage of Arizona will be facing severe drought or worse on 5 July 2022?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast

Question Ends:
Jul 05, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 28, 2022 07:02PM UTC
(2 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Less than 50%		Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to 50% but less than 60%		Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to 60% but less than 70%		Answer was correct
More than or equal to 70% but less than 80%		Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to 80%		Answer was incorrect

Will the French data protection authority (CNIL) announce a fine against Clearview AI before 31 July 2022?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast

Question Ends:
Jul 31, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 08, 2022 03:27PM UTC
(2 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes		Answer was incorrect

Will the Council of the European Union announce sanctions on the provision of cloud services to Russia before 31 July 2022?

Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Jul 31, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 08, 2022 05:58PM UTC
(2 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes		Answer was incorrect

zev

Zev Burton

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