Initial forecast
0.041966
Relative Brier Score
0
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 119 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
10%
Yes
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
75%
Yes
Initial forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
40%
Yes
Initial forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
70%
Yes
Initial forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
15%
A coalition government is formed and Yair Lapid becomes Prime Minister
55%
A coalition government is formed and Benjamin Netanyahu becomes Prime Minister
10%
A coalition government is formed but neither Lapid nor Netanyahu becomes Prime Minister
20%
A coalition government is not formed
Updating
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Oct 28, 2022 05:38PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
Yes
Sep 28, 2022 to Mar 28, 2023
No developments
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
1
15%
2
60%
3
20%
4 or lower
Updating
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
Less than 200
87%
More than or equal to 200 but less than 400
13%
More than or equal to 400 but less than 600
0%
More than or equal to 600 but less than 800
0%
More than or equal to 800 but less than 1000
0%
More than or equal to 1000
Updating
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
9%
Yes
Updating
Files
Initial forecast