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Forecasted Questions

Will Germany, France, Italy, or Spain announce any new restrictions on the use of Huawei equipment in their 5G networks by July 31, 2020?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Aug 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 22, 2020 04:49AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

What percentage of U.S. AI publications will have a Chinese co-author in 2021?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 17, 2020 07:28PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 15% Answer was incorrect
Between 15% and 17%, inclusive Answer was correct
More than 17% but less than or equal to 19% Answer was incorrect
More than 19% but less than or equal to 21% Answer was incorrect
More than 21% Answer was incorrect

Will Israel and Hamas agree to a ceasefire in the next month?

As of Dec 7, 2023 03:10PM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Nov 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(6 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 07, 2023 03:10PM UTC
(6 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes Answer was correct
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