INFER Public

Question Ends:
Jul 05, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
May 25, 2022 04:05AM UTC
(2 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Less than 50%		Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to 50% but less than 60%		Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to 60% but less than 70%		Answer was correct
More than or equal to 70% but less than 80%		Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to 80%		Answer was incorrect

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast

Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
May 25, 2022 04:07AM UTC
(2 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Less than $17 billion		Answer was correct
More than or equal to $17 billion but less than $18 billion		Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to $18 billion but less than $19 billion		Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to $19 billion		Answer was incorrect

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast

Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 05, 2022 07:12PM UTC
(2 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Less than 5		Answer was incorrect
Between 5 and 9, inclusive		Answer was incorrect
Between 10 and 14, inclusive		Answer was correct
Between 15 and 19, inclusive		Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to 20		Answer was incorrect

Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Nov 01, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 24, 2022 04:26PM UTC
(1 year ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
A coalition government is formed and Yair Lapid becomes Prime Minister		Answer was incorrect
A coalition government is formed and Benjamin Netanyahu becomes Prime Minister		Answer was correct
A coalition government is formed but neither Lapid nor Netanyahu becomes Prime Minister		Answer was incorrect
A coalition government is not formed		Answer was incorrect

Forecast Count:
6 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 14, 2022 02:22AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Less than 3		Answer was correct
Between 3 and 5, inclusive		Answer was incorrect
Between 6 and 7, inclusive		Answer was incorrect
Between 8 and 10, inclusive		Answer was incorrect
More than 10		Answer was incorrect

Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Mar 01, 2023 05:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 11, 2023 04:14AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes		Answer was incorrect

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast

Question Ends:
May 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Feb 23, 2023 08:12PM UTC
(1 year ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes		Answer was correct

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