Team consensus
No Scores Yet
Relative Brier Score
0
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
3%
Yes
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
4%
Yes, and it will pass
2%
Yes, and it will not pass
94%
No
Team consensus
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
10%
(-35%)
Yes
Team Consensus
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
2%
Yes, and the bill will be favorably reported to the full committee
1%
Yes, but the bill will not be favorably reported to the full committee
97%
No, a vote will not occur
Team Consensus
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(-4%)
Yes
Team consensus + time
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(-2%)
Less than 5
5%
(-3%)
Between 5 and 9, inclusive
25%
(+5%)
Between 10 and 14, inclusive
40%
(0%)
Between 15 and 19, inclusive
30%
(0%)
More than or equal to 20
Updating to team
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(-15%)
Yes
Close to deadline
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(-5%)
Less than or equal to 200 million
0%
(-5%)
More than 200 million but less than 250 million
0%
(-10%)
Between 250 million and 300 million, inclusive
100%
(+20%)
More than 300 million
Updating to team consensus
Files
Team consensus