Forecasted Questions
What will be the outcome of the Israeli legislative election on 1 November 2022?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Nov 01, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Nov 01, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 12, 2022 02:38AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Sep 12, 2022 02:38AM UTC
(1 year ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A coalition government is formed and Yair Lapid becomes Prime Minister | Answer was incorrect | |||
| A coalition government is formed and Benjamin Netanyahu becomes Prime Minister | Answer was correct | |||
| A coalition government is formed but neither Lapid nor Netanyahu becomes Prime Minister | Answer was incorrect | |||
| A coalition government is not formed | Answer was incorrect | |||
On 28 February 2023, how many states will be following the California emissions standard banning the sale of new emissions-producing vehicles by 2035?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Mar 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Mar 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 12, 2022 02:49AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Sep 12, 2022 02:49AM UTC
(1 year ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 5 | Answer was incorrect | |||
| Between 5 and 11, inclusive | Answer was correct | |||
| Between 12 and 17, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than or equal to 18 | Answer was incorrect | |||
How many U.S. teams will be named as a Winner or Runner Up at the 2022 iGEM Grand Jamboree in Paris?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Oct 26, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Oct 26, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 12, 2022 02:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Sep 12, 2022 02:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Answer was incorrect | |||
| 1 | Answer was correct | |||
| 2 or more | Answer was incorrect | |||
Which country will have published the second most "high impact" journal articles on artificial intelligence in 2022?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 12, 2022 03:03AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Sep 12, 2022 03:03AM UTC
(1 year ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China | Answer was incorrect | |||
| EU | Answer was correct | |||
| United States | Answer was incorrect | |||
| India | Answer was incorrect | |||
| None of the above | Answer was incorrect | |||
In 2022, will a Chinese institution have the most "high impact" AI research publications?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 12, 2022 03:06AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Sep 12, 2022 03:06AM UTC
(1 year ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was correct | |||
From 1 September 2022 to 31 August 2023, will ACLED record 800 or more civilian fatalities in El Salvador?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Sep 01, 2023 03:59AM UTC
(9 months ago)
Sep 01, 2023 03:59AM UTC
(9 months ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
May 26, 2023 01:55PM UTC
(12 months ago)
May 26, 2023 01:55PM UTC
(12 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||
From 1 September 2022 to 31 August 2023, will 50 or more fatalities be attributed to one or more non-state armed groups with Salafi jihadi ideology in India?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Sep 01, 2023 03:59AM UTC
(9 months ago)
Sep 01, 2023 03:59AM UTC
(9 months ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
May 26, 2023 01:55PM UTC
(12 months ago)
May 26, 2023 01:55PM UTC
(12 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||