xylix

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0.145384

Relative Brier Score

15

Forecasts

0

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
 

Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 0 0 0 0 26
Comments 0 0 0 0 4
Questions Forecasted 0 0 0 0 11
Upvotes on Comments By This User 0 0 0 0 0
 Definitions
New Badge
xylix
earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

New Prediction
xylix
made their 1st forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
100%
Less than $4.60
0%
More than or equal to $4.60 but less than $4.80
0%
More than or equal to $4.80 but less than $5.00
0%
More than or equal to $5.00 but less than $5.20
0%
More than or equal to $5.20
Current value and downward trend make it pretty likely to stay very low.
Files
New Prediction
xylix
made their 3rd forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
11% (0%)
Less than 20
27% (0%)
Between 20 and 29, inclusive
43% (0%)
Between 30 and 39, inclusive
16% (0%)
Between 40 and 49, inclusive
3% (0%)
More than or equal to 50
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Badge
xylix
earned a new badge:

Questions Forecasted

For forecasting on 10 questions!
New Badge
xylix
earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

New Prediction

I think it is relatively likely that it will be pulled back entirely.

Files
New Prediction

It seems likely that Russia's nuclear bluffs are losing power continously.

Files
New Prediction
xylix
made their 4th forecast (view all):
This forecast expired on Mar 22, 2023 04:37PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0% (0%)
Yes
Feb 22, 2023 to Mar 22, 2023
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction

lowering because of time passing

Files
New Prediction
xylix
made their 2nd forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
11% (0%)
Less than 20
27% (0%)
Between 20 and 29, inclusive
43% (0%)
Between 30 and 39, inclusive
16% (0%)
Between 40 and 49, inclusive
3% (0%)
More than or equal to 50
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Files
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