Forecasted Questions
Will Germany, France, Italy, or Spain announce any new restrictions on the use of Huawei equipment in their 5G networks by July 31, 2020?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Aug 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Aug 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 29, 2020 02:35PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Jul 29, 2020 02:35PM UTC
(4 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||
How many AI papers will be posted on arXiv between July 1 and September 30, 2020, inclusive?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Oct 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Oct 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 02, 2020 07:13PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Aug 02, 2020 07:13PM UTC
(4 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 6,000 | Answer was incorrect | |||
| Between 6,000 and 8,000, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than 8,000 but less than or equal to 10,000 | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than 10,000 but less than or equal to 12,000 | Answer was correct | |||
| More than 12,000 | Answer was incorrect | |||
Will the Chinese government add Apple, Qualcomm, Cisco, or Boeing to its 'unreliable entities list' by August 10, 2020?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Aug 11, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Aug 11, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 02, 2020 07:18PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Aug 02, 2020 07:18PM UTC
(4 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||
What percentage of AI papers posted on arXiv will be in the field of computer vision between July 1 and December 31, 2020, inclusive?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Dec 07, 2020 09:59PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Dec 07, 2020 09:59PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 09, 2020 12:20PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Oct 09, 2020 12:20PM UTC
(3 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 30% | Answer was incorrect | |||
| Between 30 and 33%, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than 33% but less than or equal to 36% | Answer was correct | |||
| More than 36% but less than or equal to 39% | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than 39% | Answer was incorrect | |||