mgahntz

About:
Show more
Forecasted Questions

What will total U.S. trade volume with China (imports and exports of goods) be in 2020?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Sep 28, 2020 04:00PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 14, 2020 05:19PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than $300 billion Answer was incorrect
Between $300 billion and $450 billion, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than $450 billion but less than or equal to $600 billion Answer was correct
More than $600 billion but less than or equal to $750 billion Answer was incorrect
More than $750 billion Answer was incorrect

How many postings for U.S. jobs requiring machine learning skills will be published between July 1 and September 30, 2020, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Oct 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 14, 2020 05:26PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 20,000 Answer was incorrect
Between 20,000 and 35,000, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than 35,000 but less than or equal to 50,000 Answer was correct
More than 50,000 but less than or equal to 65,000 Answer was incorrect
More than 65,000 Answer was incorrect

What percentage of U.S. news articles about AI will be about privacy and security between June 15 and August 15, 2020, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Aug 16, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 14, 2020 05:45PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 0.5% Answer was incorrect
Between 0.5% and 1.0%, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than 1.0% but less than or equal to 1.5% Answer was correct
More than 1.5% Answer was incorrect

What percentage of U.S. news articles about facial recognition will have a negative framing between July 1 and September 30, 2020, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Oct 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 19, 2020 03:33PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 30% Answer was incorrect
Between 30% and 40%, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than 40% but less than or equal to 50% Answer was correct
More than 50% but less than or equal to 60% Answer was incorrect
More than 60% Answer was incorrect

What percentage of U.S. corporate press releases about AI will reference AI ethics in 2021?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Apr 18, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 19, 2020 03:44PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 1.5% Answer was incorrect
Between 1.5% and 3%, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than 3% but less than or equal to 4.5% Answer was correct
More than 4.5% but less than or equal to 6% Answer was incorrect
More than 6% Answer was incorrect

How much will the U.S. Department of Defense spend on AI grants between July 1 and December 31, 2020, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Dec 07, 2020 09:59PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 09, 2020 09:38PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than $30 million Answer was incorrect
Between $30 million and $70 million, inclusive Answer was correct
More than $70 million but less than or equal to $110 million Answer was incorrect
More than $110 million but less than or equal to $150 million Answer was incorrect
More than $150 million Answer was incorrect
Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username