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Forecasted Questions
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What percentage of U.S. news articles about AI will be about privacy and security between June 15 and August 15, 2020, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Aug 16, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Aug 11, 2020 07:22PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 0.5% Answer was incorrect
Between 0.5% and 1.0%, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than 1.0% but less than or equal to 1.5% Answer was correct
More than 1.5% Answer was incorrect

Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea by September 30, 2020?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Oct 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Aug 11, 2020 07:42PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Will either China or the United States withdraw from their January 2020 trade truce by August 31, 2020?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Sep 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Aug 11, 2020 08:19PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

How much will the U.S. Department of Defense spend on AI research contracts between July 1 and December 31, 2020, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Dec 07, 2020 09:59PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Aug 24, 2020 07:42PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than $200 million Answer was incorrect
Between $200 million and $300 million, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than $300 million but less than or equal to $400 million Answer was incorrect
More than $400 million but less than or equal to $500 million Answer was correct
More than $500 million Answer was incorrect

How much funding will U.S. tech startups raise between July 1 and December 31, 2020, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Dec 07, 2020 09:59PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 08, 2020 07:29PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than $12 billion Answer was incorrect
Between $12 billion and $16 billion, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than $16 billion but less than or equal to $20 billion Answer was correct
More than $20 billion but less than or equal to $24 billion Answer was incorrect
More than $24 billion Answer was incorrect

What percentage of O-1 visas will go to Chinese nationals between July 1 and September 30, 2020, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Sep 28, 2020 08:00PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 08, 2020 08:00PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 2% Answer was correct
Between 2% and 4% inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than 4% but less than or equal to 6% Answer was incorrect
More than 6% but less than or equal to 8% Answer was incorrect
More than 8% Answer was incorrect

Will the U.S. Justice Department file an antitrust lawsuit against Google by September 14, 2020?

Forecast Count:
 2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Sep 15, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 12, 2020 01:03PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect
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