Reaffirming.
0.000939
Relative Brier Score
38
Forecasts
6
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 1 | 16 | 163 | 38 | 392 |
| Comments | 0 | 3 | 50 | 10 | 103 |
| Questions Forecasted | 1 | 7 | 32 | 10 | 71 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 42 | 6 | 77 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
2%
(0%)
Yes
98%
(0%)
No
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Yes
22 days remaining.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
Holding steady at 0.005%
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
Yes
Time nearly done.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
Affirming. Nothing occurring.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
3%
(0%)
Yes
Mar 31, 2024 to Sep 30, 2024
Holding until William Lai is inaugurated. Blockade is unlikely but not impossible.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
Rounded down to zero. Just health issues are a concern, including issues related to potential Ukrainian assassins.
Files
Following the Iranian attack on Israel...the war cabinet members have sworn to respond.