Forecasted Questions
Will the U.S. government file an antitrust lawsuit against Apple, Amazon, or Facebook between January 20, 2021 and January 19, 2025?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Dec 06, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Dec 06, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 25, 2020 06:06PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Nov 25, 2020 06:06PM UTC
(3 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was correct | |||
What percentage of U.S. residents will have an unfavorable view of China, as reflected in the 2022 Pew Global Attitudes Survey?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Aug 27, 2021 05:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Aug 27, 2021 05:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 17, 2020 08:55PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Dec 17, 2020 08:55PM UTC
(3 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 59% | Answer was incorrect | |||
| Between 59% and 66%, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than 66% but less than or equal to 73% | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than 73% but less than or equal to 80% | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than 80% | Answer was correct | |||
What percentage of U.S. news articles about AI will be about privacy and security between July 1 and December 31, 2021, inclusive?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Jul 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 30, 2021 07:05PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Jan 30, 2021 07:05PM UTC
(3 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 0.45% | Answer was incorrect | |||
| Between 0.45% and 0.7%, inclusive | Answer was correct | |||
| More than 0.7% but less than or equal to 0.95% | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than 0.95% but less than or equal to 1.2% | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than 1.2% | Answer was incorrect | |||