Forecasted Questions
In the next six months, will the Global Protest Tracker record an anti-government protest in Iran with 10,000 or more participants lasting at least a week?
As of Jan 8, 2024 03:37PM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(8 months from now)
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(8 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 08, 2023 03:37PM UTC
(5 months ago)
Dec 08, 2023 03:37PM UTC
(5 months ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | 31% | Dec 8, 2023 to Jun 8, 2024 | Jan 8, 2024 | 10% | +21% | -10% |
No | 69% | Dec 8, 2023 to Jun 8, 2024 | Jan 8, 2024 | 90% | -21% | +10% |
Will Houthi rebels execute an attack against an Israeli civil or military vessel in the next 6 months?
As of Feb 11, 2024 07:49PM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Jul 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 11, 2024 07:49PM UTC
(4 months ago)
Jan 11, 2024 07:49PM UTC
(4 months ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | 2% | Jan 11, 2024 to Jul 11, 2024 | Feb 11, 2024 | 18% | -16% | -5% |
No | 98% | Jan 11, 2024 to Jul 11, 2024 | Feb 11, 2024 | 82% | +16% | +5% |
Will Imran Khan be re-elected as prime minister following Pakistan’s upcoming general election?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Feb 09, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(3 months ago)
Feb 09, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(3 months ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 26, 2024 03:49PM UTC
(3 months ago)
Jan 26, 2024 03:49PM UTC
(3 months ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | 0% | 0% | +0% | +0% |