brian

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Forecasted Questions

In the next six months, will the Global Protest Tracker record an anti-government protest in Iran with 10,000 or more participants lasting at least a week?

As of Jan 8, 2024 03:37PM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(8 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 08, 2023 03:37PM UTC
(5 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes 31% Dec 8, 2023 to Jun 8, 2024 Jan 8, 2024 10%
No 69% Dec 8, 2023 to Jun 8, 2024 Jan 8, 2024 90%

Will Houthi rebels execute an attack against an Israeli civil or military vessel in the next 6 months?

As of Feb 11, 2024 07:49PM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 11, 2024 07:49PM UTC
(4 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes 2% Jan 11, 2024 to Jul 11, 2024 Feb 11, 2024 18%
No 98% Jan 11, 2024 to Jul 11, 2024 Feb 11, 2024 82%

Will Imran Khan be re-elected as prime minister following Pakistan’s upcoming general election?

Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Feb 09, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(3 months ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 26, 2024 03:49PM UTC
(3 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 0% 0%
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