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73rd
Accuracy Rank
Revmag
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2024 Season
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2023 Season
Artificial Intelligence
China Politics, Relations, and Technology
Formerly on Foretell
Global AI Race: Talent, Research, and Tech
How Will the U.S. Technology Sector Develop in the Coming Years?
Immigration
Industry
INFER x Cosmic Bazaar Collaboration
International Diplomacy & Conflict
Iran: Threats & Influence
Issue Campaign: U.S. Department of Defense - Silicon Valley Relationship
Microelectronic Technologies
Public Attitudes
Research
Russia-Ukraine War
Science & Technology
Synthetic Biology in the Energy Sector
The Water Cooler
U.S.-China
Decoding Disinformation
EA College Tournament
Future Bowl
Government Investment
Iran Nuclear Program
Iran-VNSAs
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metric-question
Microelectronics
Mission: AI Advancement
Mission: Diplomacy
Open RAN
Quantum Computing
semiconductors
Semiconductor Supply Chain
U.S. tech sector
Date Ended
Question
Relative Brier Score
Feb 03, 2023 05:00AM UTC
Will China launch more orbital rockets than the U.S. in January 2023?
-0.002122
Feb 01, 2023 06:46PM UTC
Will the European Union’s economic sanctions on Russia expire or be revoked for whole sectors or industries by 31 January 2023?
-0.000942
Jan 25, 2023 02:00PM UTC
What percentage of ASML's lithography sales will be to the United States in 2022?
-0.004692
Jan 18, 2023 05:00AM UTC
How many integrated circuit (IC) units will China produce in 2022?
-0.015362
Jan 03, 2023 10:00PM UTC
Will Vladimir Putin’s approval rating drop below 50% in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Dec 3, 2022 and Jan 3, 2023)
0.0
Jan 02, 2023 05:01AM UTC
Will the price per chip-hour of Google’s cloud-based Tensor Processing Unit (TPU v4) be greater than $3.22 on January 1, 2023?
-0.007926
Jan 01, 2023 05:01AM UTC
Will Li Keqiang be a member of the Standing Committee of the Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?
-0.000015
Jan 01, 2023 05:01AM UTC
Will Hu Chunhua be a member of the Standing Committee of the Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?
-0.000061
Jan 01, 2023 05:01AM UTC
In 2022, will the Shanghai Micro Electronics Equipment Co. list a new lithography machine as an available product on its website?
-0.002
Jan 01, 2023 05:01AM UTC
Will Chen Min'er be a member of the Standing Committee of the Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?
-0.002232
Jan 01, 2023 05:01AM UTC
By 31 December 2022, will Impossible Foods announce a date for their IPO?
-0.001134
Jan 01, 2023 05:01AM UTC
By 31 December 2022, will the Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company announce plans to build a semiconductor fab in Europe?
-0.000988
Jan 01, 2023 05:01AM UTC
Will Xi Jinping be General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?
-0.000254
Jan 01, 2023 05:00AM UTC
Will China announce an end to its zero Covid policy by 31 December 2022?
-0.001659
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
In the next 6 months, will the United States Government publicly cancel or deny 1 or more visas to employees of any Chinese-based company accused of committing intellectual property theft? (Scores for forecasts between Dec 17, 2022 and Jan 1, 2023)
-0.000286
Dec 29, 2022 10:00PM UTC
What will be the outcome of the Israeli legislative election on 1 November 2022?
-0.034255
Dec 17, 2022 04:00PM UTC
In the next 6 months, will the United States Government publicly cancel or deny 1 or more visas to employees of any Chinese-based company accused of committing intellectual property theft? (Scores for forecasts between Nov 17, 2022 and Dec 17, 2022)
-0.000767
Dec 06, 2022 08:00PM UTC
Will Russia test or use a nuclear weapon in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Nov 6, 2022 and Dec 6, 2022)
0.001653
Dec 03, 2022 10:00PM UTC
Will Vladimir Putin’s approval rating drop below 50% in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Nov 3, 2022 and Dec 3, 2022)
-0.000137
Nov 17, 2022 04:00PM UTC
In the next 6 months, will the United States Government publicly cancel or deny 1 or more visas to employees of any Chinese-based company accused of committing intellectual property theft? (Scores for forecasts between Oct 17, 2022 and Nov 17, 2022)
-0.000316
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