40th
Accuracy Rank

aggaray

About:
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-0.140797

Relative Brier Score

136

Forecasts

17

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
 

Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 0 28 254 136 911
Comments 0 3 31 27 91
Questions Forecasted 0 28 58 41 181
Upvotes on Comments By This User 0 4 25 17 49
 Definitions
New Badge
aggaray
earned a new badge:

Power Forecaster - May 2024

Earned for making 20+ forecasts in a month.
New Prediction
aggaray
made their 1st forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
5%
Estonia
5%
Latvia
5%
Lithuania

In the Russian-generated conflict, there is always a portion of uncertainty to some taken decisions. In this case, maybe is right now a very unlikely action but we should keep listening to locals to seize in the right way the situation: https://news.sky.com/story/ukraine-war-why-the-baltic-states-on-natos-frontline-with-russia-are-urging-their-allies-to-wake-up-13084332

Files
New Prediction

Without a correct electoral process, it is unlikely a change in Venezuela in this moment. 

As mentioned in this source, Venezuela rejected EU observers: https://www.nytimes.com/2024/05/28/world/americas/venezuela-election-maduro.html

Files
New Prediction

In this moment with all the market share covered in the Developing World and as a good example Latin America (https://www.usip.org/publications/2024/04/huaweis-expansion-latin-america-and-caribbean-views-region ), think about selling OPEN RAN Equipment -and in this way, supporting the iniative-it is unlikely

Files
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
aggaray
made their 3rd forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
4% (0%)
Yes
May 30, 2024 to May 30, 2025
96% (0%)
No
May 30, 2024 to May 30, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
aggaray
made their 6th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
3% (0%)
Yes
May 30, 2024 to Nov 30, 2024
97% (0%)
No
May 30, 2024 to Nov 30, 2024
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
aggaray
made their 5th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
0% (0%)
2023 Q2
0% (0%)
2023 Q3
1% (0%)
2023 Q4
1% (0%)
2024 Q1
1% (0%)
2024 Q2
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Files
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