52nd
Accuracy Rank

aggaray

About:
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-0.061066

Relative Brier Score

161

Forecasts

23

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
 

Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 3 23 255 161 936
Comments 0 5 35 32 96
Questions Forecasted 3 23 66 50 190
Upvotes on Comments By This User 0 6 30 23 55
 Definitions
New Prediction
aggaray
made their 5th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
3% (0%)
Yes
Jul 25, 2024 to Aug 25, 2024
97% (0%)
No
Jul 25, 2024 to Aug 25, 2024
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Badge
aggaray
earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

New Prediction
aggaray
made their 3rd forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
12% (-3%)
Yes
Jul 25, 2024 to Jul 25, 2025
88% (+3%)
No
Jul 25, 2024 to Jul 25, 2025

Updating my forecast considering latest developments in the conflict Israel Hamas and the visit to US

Files
New Badge
aggaray
earned a new badge:

Power Forecaster - Jun 2024

Earned for making 20+ forecasts in a month.
New Badge
aggaray
earned a new badge:

Upvotes Received

New Prediction
aggaray
made their 2nd forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
25% (-5%)
Yes
75% (+5%)
No

Huawei is in this moment the major Telecom vendor in many countries in LA for example, for that reason i don´t see like it in the short term their contribution to ORAN

Files
New Prediction
aggaray
made their 5th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
12% (-3%)
Yes
Jun 30, 2024 to Jun 30, 2025
88% (+3%)
No
Jun 30, 2024 to Jun 30, 2025

reducing the probabilty that i already gave....considering at least current situation

Files
New Prediction
aggaray
made their 7th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
1% (0%)
Yes
Jun 29, 2024 to Dec 29, 2024
99% (0%)
No
Jun 29, 2024 to Dec 29, 2024

I do confirm my forecast---more now after the electoral process this week

Files
New Prediction

Increasing the probability considering latest talks in the area

Files
Files
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