77th
Accuracy Rank

daddyxi

About:
Show more
Forecasted Questions

From 1 June 2023 to 31 May 2024, how many battles and incidents of violence against civilians will ACLED record in Venezuela?

Forecast Count:
6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jun 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(14 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 22, 2024 10:14PM UTC
(4 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than or equal to 499 62% 99%
Between 500 and 999, inclusive 31% 1%
Between 1000 and 1499, inclusive 6% 0%
Between 1500 and 1999, inclusive 1% 0%
More than or equal to 2000 0% 0%

Will Iran eliminate its stockpile of uranium enriched up to 60% by 31 December 2024, according to the IAEA?

Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(8 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 22, 2024 11:29PM UTC
(4 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes, the stockpile will be reduced by 100% to 0 kg 0% 0%
No, the stockpile will be reduced by 50% or more (>0 kg - 61.8 kg) 0% 1%
No, the stockpile will be reduced by less than 50% (>61.8 kg - 123.6 kg) 0% 4%
No, the stockpile will increase (>123.6 kg) 100% 95%

Will any of the following countries recognize Israel’s statehood by 31 December 2024?

Forecast Count:
7 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(8 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 22, 2024 11:29PM UTC
(4 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Kuwait 0% 2%
Oman 0% 2%
Qatar 0% 2%
Saudi Arabia 0% 5%
Tunisia 0% 1%
Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username