Forecasted Questions
How many new H-1B visa applications submitted by the "Big 5" tech companies will the U.S. grant in FY 2022 (September 2021 through October 2022)?
Forecast Count:
5 Forecasts
5 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Oct 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Oct 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 17, 2021 07:21PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Sep 17, 2021 07:21PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Less than 7,500 | Answer was incorrect | |||
Between 7,500 and 9,500, inclusive | Answer was correct | |||
More than 9,500 but less than or equal to 11,500 | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than 11,500 but less than or equal to 13,500 | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than 13,500 | Answer was incorrect |
Will China execute an acknowledged national military attack against Vietnam, India, or Taiwan in the next six months?
As of Dec 17, 2021 04:00PM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Aug 17, 2022 11:00AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Aug 17, 2022 11:00AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 17, 2021 04:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Nov 17, 2021 04:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | Answer was incorrect |
Will China seize control of any Taiwanese-occupied feature in the South China Sea in the next six months?
As of Dec 17, 2021 04:00PM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Aug 17, 2022 11:00AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Aug 17, 2022 11:00AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 17, 2021 04:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Nov 17, 2021 04:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | Answer was incorrect |
Will the U.S. government file an antitrust lawsuit against Apple, Amazon, or Facebook between January 20, 2021 and January 19, 2025?
Forecast Count:
8 Forecasts
8 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Dec 06, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Dec 06, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 03, 2021 06:16PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Dec 03, 2021 06:16PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | Answer was correct |
Will Xi Jinping be General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?
Forecast Count:
6 Forecasts
6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2023 05:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Jan 01, 2023 05:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 03, 2021 06:40PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Dec 03, 2021 06:40PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | Answer was correct |
Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea in the next six months?
As of Jan 3, 2022 06:43PM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Sep 01, 2022 11:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Sep 01, 2022 11:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 03, 2021 06:43PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Dec 03, 2021 06:43PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | Answer was incorrect |
When will 1 billion people in India receive at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Oct 01, 2022 12:00PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Oct 01, 2022 12:00PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 10, 2021 06:04PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Dec 10, 2021 06:04PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Before January 1, 2022 | Answer was incorrect | |||
Between January 1, 2022, and March 31, 2022 | Answer was incorrect | |||
Between April 1, 2022 and June 30, 2022 | Answer was correct | |||
Between July 1, 2022 and September 30, 2022 | Answer was incorrect | |||
Not before October 1, 2022 | Answer was incorrect |