INFER Public

Will the U.S. Justice Department file an antitrust lawsuit against Google by September 14, 2020?

Question Ends:
Sep 15, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 05, 2020 08:49PM UTC
(3 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes		Answer was incorrect

Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea by September 30, 2020?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast

Question Ends:
Oct 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 05, 2020 08:51PM UTC
(3 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes		Answer was incorrect

What percentage of U.S. news articles about facial recognition will have a negative framing between July 1 and September 30, 2020, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast

Question Ends:
Oct 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 05, 2020 08:57PM UTC
(3 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Less than 30%		Answer was incorrect
Between 30% and 40%, inclusive		Answer was incorrect
More than 40% but less than or equal to 50%		Answer was correct
More than 50% but less than or equal to 60%		Answer was incorrect
More than 60%		Answer was incorrect

What will the combined revenue of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft be in the first two quarters (January 1 through June 30) of 2021?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast

Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 01, 2020 10:44PM UTC
(3 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Less than $440 billion		Answer was incorrect
Between $440 billion and $490 billion, inclusive		Answer was incorrect
More than $490 billion but less than or equal to $540 billion		Answer was incorrect
More than $540 billion but less than or equal to $590 billion		Answer was incorrect
More than $590 billion		Answer was correct

What will be the value, in dollars, of U.S. exports of semiconductor chips to China in the first half of 2021?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast

Question Ends:
Mar 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 26, 2020 02:48AM UTC
(3 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Less than $3.9 billion		Answer was incorrect
More than $3.9 billion but less than or equal to $4.5 billion		Answer was incorrect
Between $4.5 billion and $5.1 billion, inclusive		Answer was incorrect
Between $5.1 billion and $5.7 billion, inclusive		Answer was incorrect
More than $5.7 billion		Answer was correct

What percentage of the combined revenue of the top five semiconductor manufacturing equipment producers will come from China in 2021?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast

Question Ends:
Apr 20, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 30, 2020 09:48PM UTC
(3 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Less than 20%		Answer was incorrect
Between 20% and 25%, inclusive		Answer was incorrect
More than 25% but less than or equal to 30%		Answer was correct
More than 30% but less than or equal to 35%		Answer was incorrect
More than 35%		Answer was incorrect

What will be the value, in dollars, of all Chinese imports of semiconductor manufacturing equipment in 2021?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast

Question Ends:
Mar 01, 2021 05:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 30, 2020 09:50PM UTC
(3 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Less than $20 billion		Answer was incorrect
More than $20 billion but less than or equal to $30 billion		Answer was incorrect
Between $30 billion and $40 billion, inclusive		Answer was incorrect
Between $40 billion and $50 billion, inclusive		Answer was correct
More than $50 billion		Answer was incorrect

How many postings for U.S. jobs requiring machine learning skills will be published between January 1 and March 31, 2021, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast

Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 30, 2020 09:56PM UTC
(3 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Less than 30,000		Answer was incorrect
Between 30,000 and 38,000, inclusive		Answer was incorrect
More than 38,000 but less than or equal to 46,000		Answer was incorrect
More than 46,000 but less than or equal to 54,000		Answer was incorrect
More than 54,000		Answer was correct

How many of the top chipmakers in China will be subject to new export controls in 2021?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast

Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 20, 2021 05:53PM UTC
(3 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Zero		Answer was correct
One		Answer was incorrect
Two or more		Answer was incorrect

What will be the opening price of GameStop stock on Tuesday, February 16?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast

Question Ends:
Feb 16, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Feb 04, 2021 03:14AM UTC
(3 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Less than $20		Answer was incorrect
Between $20 and $100, inclusive		Answer was correct
More than $100 but less than or equal to $300		Answer was incorrect
More than $300 but less than or equal to $500		Answer was incorrect
More than $500 but less than or equal to $1000		Answer was incorrect
More than $1000		Answer was incorrect

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