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Forecasted Questions

What percentage of U.S. corporate press releases about AI will reference AI ethics in 2021?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Apr 18, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 08, 2021 11:19PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 1.5% Answer was incorrect
Between 1.5% and 3%, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than 3% but less than or equal to 4.5% Answer was correct
More than 4.5% but less than or equal to 6% Answer was incorrect
More than 6% Answer was incorrect

What percentage of software engineer job postings between July 1 and September 30, 2021, inclusive, will allow for remote work?

Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 25, 2021 09:29PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 5.5% Answer was incorrect
More than 5.5% but less than or equal to 7% Answer was incorrect
Between 7% and 9.5%, inclusive Answer was incorrect
Between 9.5% and 12%, inclusive Answer was correct
More than 12% Answer was incorrect

What percentage of U.S. news articles about AI will be about privacy and security between July 1 and December 31, 2021, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 25, 2021 09:29PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 0.45% Answer was incorrect
Between 0.45% and 0.7%, inclusive Answer was correct
More than 0.7% but less than or equal to 0.95% Answer was incorrect
More than 0.95% but less than or equal to 1.2% Answer was incorrect
More than 1.2% Answer was incorrect

Will a G7 country boycott the Beijing 2022 Winter Olympics before January 1, 2022?

Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Aug 27, 2021 05:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 30, 2021 06:58PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

[Experimental] What will be the consensus crowd forecast on October 1, 2021, on whether COVID-19 originated in a lab in Wuhan, China?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Oct 01, 2021 05:59PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 31, 2021 02:09PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
0-10% Answer was incorrect
10-20% Answer was incorrect
20-30% Answer was incorrect
30-40% Answer was correct
40-50% Answer was incorrect
50-60% Answer was incorrect
60-70% Answer was incorrect
70-80% Answer was incorrect
80-90% Answer was incorrect
90-100% Answer was incorrect

Will the U.S. government file an antitrust lawsuit against Apple, Amazon, or Facebook between January 20, 2021 and January 19, 2025?

Forecast Count:
7 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Dec 06, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 30, 2021 08:30PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was correct

Will Russia invade Ukraine by December 31, 2022?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Dec 31, 2022 11:59PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 31, 2021 08:02AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was correct

When will the end of day closing value for the Russian Ruble against the US Dollar drop below 75 Rubles to 1 USD?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jun 01, 2022 04:00AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 30, 2022 09:36PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Before 1 April 2022 Answer was incorrect
Between 1 April 2022 and 30 April 2022, inclusive Answer was correct
Between 1 May 2022 and 31 May 2022, inclusive Answer was incorrect
Not before 1 June 2022 Answer was incorrect

Will the United States have the world's fastest supercomputer in June 2022?

Forecast Count:
7 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jul 15, 2022 03:47PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 31, 2022 08:37AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was correct

Will the World Health Organization declare a new Public Health Emergency of International Concern in the next four quarters?

As of Jun 30, 2022 08:37AM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
5 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jun 01, 2022 02:33PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 31, 2022 08:37AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes Answer was correct
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