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Forecasted Questions

What percentage of software engineer job postings between July 1 and September 30, 2021, inclusive, will allow for remote work?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 29, 2021 08:36PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 5.5% Answer was incorrect
More than 5.5% but less than or equal to 7% Answer was incorrect
Between 7% and 9.5%, inclusive Answer was incorrect
Between 9.5% and 12%, inclusive Answer was correct
More than 12% Answer was incorrect

How many U.S. job postings requiring machine learning skills will be published between July 1 and December 31, 2021, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 21, 2021 04:46PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 70,000 Answer was incorrect
Between 70,000 and 90,000, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than 90,000 but less than or equal to 110,000 Answer was incorrect
More than 110,000 but less than or equal to 130,000 Answer was incorrect
More than 130,000 Answer was correct

How many new H-1B visa applications submitted by the "Big 5" tech companies will the U.S. grant in FY 2022 (September 2021 through October 2022)?

Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Oct 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 26, 2021 12:56AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 7,500 Answer was incorrect
Between 7,500 and 9,500, inclusive Answer was correct
More than 9,500 but less than or equal to 11,500 Answer was incorrect
More than 11,500 but less than or equal to 13,500 Answer was incorrect
More than 13,500 Answer was incorrect

What will the 'Big 5' (Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft) tech companies' average reputation ranking be in the 2022 Axios Harris poll?

Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Feb 28, 2022 11:59PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 26, 2021 12:56AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 30 (good reputation) Answer was incorrect
Between 30 and 40, inclusive Answer was correct
More than 40 but less than or equal to 50 Answer was incorrect
More than 50 but less than or equal to 60 Answer was incorrect
More than 60 (bad reputation) Answer was incorrect

Following El Salvador, will another country classify Bitcoin as legal tender by December 31, 2021?

Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Aug 17, 2021 01:00PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 26, 2021 12:56AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

When will 1 billion people in India receive at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Oct 01, 2022 12:00PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 26, 2021 02:00AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Before January 1, 2022 Answer was incorrect
Between January 1, 2022, and March 31, 2022 Answer was incorrect
Between April 1, 2022 and June 30, 2022 Answer was correct
Between July 1, 2022 and September 30, 2022 Answer was incorrect
Not before October 1, 2022 Answer was incorrect
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